INFOSYS MATCHBEATS REVEALS WINNING PATTERNS AT
EVERY SHOT LENGTH
Roger Federer: Rally Length First Two Rounds
- 0-4 Shots = 70% (198)
- 5-8 Shots = 23% (64)
- 9+ Shots = 7% (22)
Federer destroys opponents up front without us really even noticing it. It’s in the
short rallies in the 0-4 shot rally length where he crafts his biggest advantage.
Roger Federer: Points Won/Lost First Two Rounds
- 0-4 Shots = +55 (128 won / 70 lost)
- 5-8 Shots = Even (32 won / 32 lost)
- 9+ Shots = +10 (16 won / 6 lost)
Federer has won 55 more points than he has lost in the 0-4 shot rally length in the first
two rounds. Federer plays the most points here, and also wins the most points. The
average rally length in his opening round victory against Steve Johnson was 3.44 shots.
The average rally length in his second round victory over Filip Krajinovic was 3.85
shots. Short and sweet to say the least.
The genius of Federer can be found just as much on a stats sheet as sitting in the front
row watching him play. The numbers clearly show he is the King of “First
Strike”.
Infosys Stats+ identify that Federer has hit 25 aces in his first two matches while
committing just one double fault. An impressive 41% of his serves have not even come
back in play.
INFOSYS STATS+: RANKING STATS BASED ON OVERALL
MATCH IMPACT
Federer is serving lights out so far in Melbourne. The tournament average for first
serves in is 64%. Federer blows that out of the water at 72%. Federer has won 79% of
first serve points and 68% of second serve points - both miles above the tournament
average.
Federer will be looking to employ this “shoot first, ask questions later”
game style in his third round encounter with Australian John Millman. Millman loves long
rallies. Remember, Federer has played just 22 long rallies of 9+ shots in his first two
rounds. Millman, by comparison, has played exactly 100 long rallies of 9 shots or
longer. Chalk and cheese.
Millman’s average rally length in his first two rounds is 5.41 shots - well above
Federer’s 3.65 shot average.
The beauty of tennis is magnified when players with contrasting game styles go head to
head. Federer won their last encounter in 2019 at Halle 7-6, 6-3, but Millman prevailed
at the 2018 US Open 3-6, 7-5, 7-6(7), 7-6(3).
Millman will want backhand to backhand exchanges. Federer will be seeking forehand to
forehand. Whoever can make the other player bend to their intentions will advance to the
fourth round in week two.